Dainava vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
8º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
DAI
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
DAI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
FAS
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 1
KZA
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
DAI
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HÄC
5 - 0
ZAL
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HÄC
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ZAL
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
ZAL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |