Daimiel vs G. Alcazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daimiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DAI
2 - 2
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
DAI
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DAI
1 - 1
ILL
41%
27%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LGI
2 - 1
DAI
49%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DAI
3 - 0
TOM
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
G. Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 2
HEL
28%
27%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 1
GAL
51%
26%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 1
LGI
33%
26%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
TOM
3 - 0
GAL
39%
29%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 2
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |