Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
3º
2º
36
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
12º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
48.5% | 24.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
23.5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 1
DCI
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
DCI
1 - 3
POH
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
DCI
2 - 1
DAE
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SUW
3 - 0
DCI
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
DCI
2 - 3
JEO
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
POH
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
SUW
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCS
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
JEJ
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |