Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
11º
32
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 3
DCI
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
3 - 1
FCS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
DCI
37%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 2
FCS
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
JEO
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POH
0 - 0
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 1
INC
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |