Daegu FC vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
10º
11
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 54 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 52 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 43 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 42 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 42 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 39 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 37 |
12º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
82% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daegu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DAE
1 - 2
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
DAE
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 0
DAE
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
DAE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
JCI
0 - 2
DCI
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 0
DCI
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
1 - 2
POH
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 0
ULS
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
INC
2 - 0
DCI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |