Dachau vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
18º
14º
42
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dachau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KIR
2 - 1
DAC
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DAC
2 - 1
VRG
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DEI
7 - 1
DAC
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DAC
3 - 1
ROS
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
DAC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ERL
2 - 2
SCH
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
186
3 - 2
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ERL
2 - 0
TUR
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ERL
0 - 1
TSV
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TSA
3 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |