DAC vs Trenčín analysis


78	ELO	78
-1%	Tilt	-1.3%
786º	General ELO ranking	823º
3º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

40.6%

DAC

26.2%

Draw

33.2%

Trenčín

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%

26.2%

Draw

0-0

7.3%

1-1

12.5%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.2%

33.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+11%

+5%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

1

4º

11º

6º

3

1º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
8º	0	36	1º	29.5%
1º	3	35	2º	17%
10º	0	32	3º	12.5%
11º	0	32	4º	9%
5º	0	32	5º	10%
2º	1	30	6º	8%
4º	0	29	7º	12%
3º	1	28	8º	12.5%
12º	0	27	9º	5.5%
6º	0	27	10º	9%
9º	0	27	11º	15%
7º	0	27	12º	16.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs for the title	45%	73.5%
Relegation play-offs	55%	26.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

DAC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
26 Jul. 2025	DAC 1 - 1 ZEM 46% 26% 27%	78	77	1
17 Jul. 2025	DAC 3 - 1 VOL 44% 25% 32%	78	80	2
10 Jul. 2025	DAC 0 - 0 PFC 35% 27% 39%	78	84	6
05 Jul. 2025	POL 0 - 3 DAC 57% 23% 20%	78	84	6
02 Jul. 2025	DAC 1 - 1 TSC 37% 24% 39%	78	81	3

Matches

Trenčín

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
26 Jul. 2025	KOM 1 - 2 TRE 38% 27% 35%	78	77	1
19 Jul. 2025	TRE 0 - 0 PUC 67% 18% 15%	78	65	13
12 Jul. 2025	LAS 7 - 1 TRE 47% 24% 29%	78	80	2
04 Jul. 2025	ZLI 2 - 1 TRE 53% 23% 24%	78	81	3
28 Jun. 2025	KAR 3 - 1 TRE 45% 24% 31%	78	78	0