Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-3
DAC vs KS Cracovia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
DAC
22%
21%
58%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
FHV
3 - 1
DAC
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
DAC
3 - 0
SSG
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
TER
5 - 1
DAC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
DAC
3 - 2
ZAG
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
GAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
DZG
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
CRA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 3
POG
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ZAL
1 - 2
CRA
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |