DAC vs Jablonec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DAC
3 - 2
RUZ
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
ZMO
1 - 2
DAC
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
FHH
0 - 2
DAC
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
DAC
2 - 1
TNV
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
DAC
6 - 0
NIT
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
JAB
2 - 0
BAN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
JAB
3 - 1
SLO
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SLO
1 - 1
JAB
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
JAB
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
JAB
2 - 1
VJI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |