DAC vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
2º
2º
39
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DAC
3 - 1
TNV
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKD
2 - 3
DAC
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RUZ
0 - 1
DAC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DAC
2 - 1
SKA
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZEM
0 - 2
DAC
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ZIL
6 - 4
FKD
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SBR
0 - 1
ZIL
50%
23%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LIP
1 - 2
ZIL
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZIL
2 - 0
RUZ
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POD
3 - 1
ZIL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |