DAC vs MFK Dukla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
2º
2º
44
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ZIL
0 - 1
DAC
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DAC
2 - 3
SBR
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POD
2 - 0
DAC
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TNV
1 - 1
DAC
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
DAC
2 - 1
POD
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MFK Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FKD
1 - 2
SBR
34%
25%
42%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TNV
0 - 1
FKD
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FKD
1 - 1
ZIL
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
POD
1 - 2
FKD
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SBR
4 - 0
FKD
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |