DAC vs Devin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
CAN
1 - 1
DAC
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
DAC
1 - 0
POD
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SBR
1 - 1
DAC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
DAC
3 - 2
NIT
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TAT
0 - 2
DAC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Devin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
DFC
0 - 1
STL
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 2
DFC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SOB
6 - 3
DFC
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
DFC
5 - 0
CAN
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
POD
5 - 0
DFC
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |