Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-5
DAC vs Atromitos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ZMO
1 - 2
DAC
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
CRA
2 - 2
DAC
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
DAC
1 - 1
CRA
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
DAC
22%
21%
58%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
FHV
3 - 1
DAC
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atromitos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 1
ATR
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ATR
0 - 3
NTT
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
SCA
4 - 3
ATR
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ATR
0 - 2
OFI
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ATR
2 - 0
PAN
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |