Cynthia vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSE
4 - 0
CYN
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CYN
0 - 1
SSM
25%
26%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CYN
1 - 2
FBC
19%
21%
59%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
CYN
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 3
NAR
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 2
SSM
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 0
TRA
35%
27%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 0
NAR
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 0
TRA
37%
27%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 1
PIC
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |