Cwmbran Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
RHA
1 - 1
CWM
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
RHY
1 - 1
CWM
32%
25%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BAN
1 - 1
CWM
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
CWM
1 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
ABE
1 - 2
CWM
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CEF
1 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
7 - 0
CEF
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CEF
2 - 0
ABE
26%
24%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LLA
2 - 1
CEF
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |