Cwmbran Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
CWM
4 - 2
TAF
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ATG
0 - 6
CWM
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CWM
0 - 2
PON
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 1
CWM
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CWM
0 - 2
TON
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
ATG
1 - 4
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
LID
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |