Cwmbran Celtic vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
13º
8º
26
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
CWM
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
YAF
1 - 0
CWM
14%
16%
70%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
CWM
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
GOY
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 2
LLA
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
SUF
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 3
LID
11%
17%
71%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
CAR
22%
20%
57%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 0
GOY
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 1
ABE
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |