Cwmbran Celtic vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 4
CWM
11%
15%
74%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
TAF
60%
19%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
CWM
25%
19%
56%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CWM
4 - 4
PON
63%
19%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
CWM
15%
17%
69%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CON
4 - 2
PEN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
PEN
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 2
CAE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |