Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
13º
8º
45
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 5
CWM
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 3
LLA
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LID
2 - 1
CWM
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CWM
4 - 1
YAF
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 3
TNS
5%
11%
84%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
LLA
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
LLA
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 1
LLA
21%
19%
60%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 1
PON
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |