Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
CWM
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CWM
3 - 1
BRI
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
CWM
3 - 1
MON
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CWM
2 - 0
CWM
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
CWM
0 - 3
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
GAR
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |