Curzon Ashton vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
CUR
2 - 1
OSS
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GAR
1 - 2
CUR
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
WAR
0 - 2
CUR
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 0
RAD
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
CUR
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WOS
2 - 2
HAR
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
CAM
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 3
FYL
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SKE
2 - 0
HAR
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
5 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |