Curtin University vs Canning City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canning City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
COC
3 - 3
CAN
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 1
FLO
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STI
4 - 2
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 3
ING
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ECU
3 - 0
CAN
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |