Curslack-Neuengamme vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
4 - 1
CUR
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 1
HAM
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 5
CUR
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 4
VHG
41%
22%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CUR
4 - 2
HEB
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 1
THA
68%
16%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SAS
4 - 0
SUD
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SAS
4 - 4
ALT
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 2
VHG
61%
18%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |