Curslack-Neuengamme vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
58.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 2
CUR
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
PAL
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 2
CUR
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 3
WIL
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 3
CUR
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 0
THA
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HEB
2 - 1
HAM
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 4
SUD
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RUG
2 - 2
HAM
45%
21%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 1
VHG
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |