Curslack-Neuengamme vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
43.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
18º
18º
41
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 3
CUR
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 3
OSD
37%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALT
23%
21%
55%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
CUR
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
THA
3 - 3
CUR
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 1
WIL
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
WIL
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
RUG
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 5
WIL
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |