Curslack-Neuengamme vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
2 - 2
CUR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CUR
1 - 2
CON
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CUR
4 - 1
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
GER
1 - 3
CUR
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 5
CUR
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ELM
3 - 0
NIE
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 3
ELM
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ELM
1 - 2
HAL
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
ELM
4 - 2
CON
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
ELM
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |