Copa Chile 1/16
Global 5-0
Curicó Unido vs Independiente Cauquenes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 4
CUR
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 1
HUA
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
IQU
2 - 2
CUR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 4
CUR
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 3
CAU
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SAU
3 - 3
CAU
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 1
GVE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 3
CAU
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |