Curicó Unido vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 0
CUR
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
CUR
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 2
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
3 - 0
CUR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
LOT
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 5
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
CON
34%
26%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |