Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-2
Curicó Unido vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 0
CAU
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 4
CUR
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
CUR
2 - 1
HUA
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
26%
22%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
DCO
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COB
3 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |