CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 0-4
Curepipe Starlight vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curepipe Starlight
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SUN
3 - 0
CUR
84%
12%
5%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CNM
1 - 0
CUR
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CUR
2 - 0
CNM
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SUN
3 - 0
CUR
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
BLA
0 - 3
SUN
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SSU
1 - 2
SUN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |