Vinotinto Ecuador vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
LFC
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CSV
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
CUN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 2
IVT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 2
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
OLM
0 - 0
IVT
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |