Cuneo vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuneo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
CUN
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 1
SPA
37%
28%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 0
ASD
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
CUN
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CUN
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIM
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 1
ASS
17%
24%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 0
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 3
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |