Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 3
STI
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 3
DUM
27%
23%
49%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 4
CUM
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 3
CUM
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
SEL
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 6
WOR
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
WHI
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
SEL
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
CUM
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |