Scottish Cup 1/64
Global 2-6
Cumbernauld Colts vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 2
EAS
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
LEI
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 2
CUM
35%
24%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 0
CUM
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
THE
4 - 1
CUM
36%
24%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 5
FOR
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NAI
4 - 4
FOR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
COV
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 5
WIC
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOS
0 - 4
FOR
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |