Cumbayá vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EME
1 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEL
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIG
1 - 0
CFC
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAC
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 3
CFC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |