Cumbayá vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
7º
24
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 38 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 38 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 34 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
ESA
1 - 0
CFC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
IMB
0 - 1
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 0
LFC
44%
30%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
CSV
3 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
OCT
1 - 1
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 0
IMB
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
LFC
3 - 2
CSV
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
CSV
2 - 1
JUL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |