Cumbayá vs Vargas Torres analysis

Cumbayá Vargas Torres
75 ELO 71
-11.3% Tilt -0.1%
1243º General ELO ranking 1804º
23º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
45.8%
Cumbayá
27.7%
Draw
26.5%
Vargas Torres

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
Cumbayá
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.5%
Win probability
Vargas Torres
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cumbayá
-11%
+12%
Vargas Torres

Points and table prediction

Cumbayá
Their league position
Vargas Torres
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
24
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leones
34
38
34%
Gualaceo
31
38
17.5%
Guayaquil City
30
37
25.5%
9 de Octubre
29
36
17%
Independiente Juniors
25
32
23%
San Antonio
28
32
26%
Cumbayá
26
30
41%
Atlético Vinotinto
25
28
45%
Vargas Torres
24
27
43%
22 de Julio
10º
22
25
10º
62%
Imbabura
11º
15
19
11º
87%
Chacaritas
12º
12
15
12º
92%
Expected probabilities
Cumbayá
Vargas Torres
Promotion play-offs
41% 5.5%
Relegation play-offs
59% 94.5%

ELO progression

Cumbayá
Vargas Torres
San Antonio
Chacaritas
Independiente Juniors
Guayaquil City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cumbayá
Cumbayá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2025
ESA
San Antonio
1 - 0
Cumbayá
CFC
40%
28%
32%
74 70 4 0
08 Jul. 2025
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 0
Cumbayá
CFC
46%
27%
28%
75 77 2 -1
01 Jul. 2025
CFC
Cumbayá
1 - 0
9 de Octubre
OCT
29%
28%
43%
74 80 6 +1
26 Jun. 2025
IMB
Imbabura
0 - 1
Cumbayá
CFC
52%
24%
24%
73 75 2 +1
19 Jun. 2025
CFC
Cumbayá
0 - 0
Leones
LFC
44%
30%
26%
73 69 4 0

Matches

Vargas Torres
Vargas Torres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
3 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
30%
29%
41%
70 77 7 0
11 Jul. 2025
OCT
9 de Octubre
1 - 1
Vargas Torres
CSV
63%
23%
14%
70 79 9 0
04 Jul. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
1 - 0
Imbabura
IMB
27%
26%
48%
69 75 6 +1
25 Jun. 2025
LFC
Leones
3 - 2
Vargas Torres
CSV
42%
30%
28%
69 69 0 0
18 Jun. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
2 - 1
22 de Julio
JUL
60%
23%
17%
69 28 41 0