Cumbayá vs Vargas Torres analysis

Cumbayá Vargas Torres
75 ELO 71
-11.3% Tilt -0.1%
1237º General ELO ranking 1804º
23º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
46.8%
Cumbayá
27.5%
Draw
25.7%
Vargas Torres

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
Cumbayá
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.7%
Win probability
Vargas Torres
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cumbayá
-11%
+12%
Vargas Torres

Points and table prediction

Cumbayá
Their league position
Vargas Torres
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
24
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leones
34
38
43%
9 de Octubre
32
38
26.5%
Guayaquil City
30
37
29%
Gualaceo
31
35
24.5%
Independiente Juniors
28
34
31%
San Antonio
28
32
34.5%
Cumbayá
26
30
44.5%
Atlético Vinotinto
25
28
42.5%
Vargas Torres
24
27
44.5%
22 de Julio
10º
22
25
10º
60%
Imbabura
11º
15
19
11º
87%
Chacaritas
12º
12
16
12º
91.5%
Expected probabilities
Cumbayá
Vargas Torres
Promotion play-offs
37% 2.5%
Relegation play-offs
63% 97.5%

ELO progression

Cumbayá
Vargas Torres
San Antonio
Independiente Juniors
Chacaritas
Guayaquil City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cumbayá
Cumbayá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2025
ESA
San Antonio
1 - 0
Cumbayá
CFC
40%
28%
32%
74 70 4 0
08 Jul. 2025
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 0
Cumbayá
CFC
46%
27%
28%
75 77 2 -1
01 Jul. 2025
CFC
Cumbayá
1 - 0
9 de Octubre
OCT
29%
28%
43%
74 80 6 +1
26 Jun. 2025
IMB
Imbabura
0 - 1
Cumbayá
CFC
52%
24%
24%
73 75 2 +1
19 Jun. 2025
CFC
Cumbayá
0 - 0
Leones
LFC
44%
30%
26%
73 69 4 0

Matches

Vargas Torres
Vargas Torres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
3 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
30%
29%
41%
70 77 7 0
11 Jul. 2025
OCT
9 de Octubre
1 - 1
Vargas Torres
CSV
63%
23%
14%
70 79 9 0
04 Jul. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
1 - 0
Imbabura
IMB
27%
26%
48%
69 75 6 +1
25 Jun. 2025
LFC
Leones
3 - 2
Vargas Torres
CSV
42%
30%
28%
69 69 0 0
18 Jun. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
2 - 1
22 de Julio
JUL
60%
23%
17%
69 28 41 0