Cumbayá vs Atlético Vinotinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+351%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
7º
25
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 38 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 15 |
12º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
59% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DEL
6 - 4
CFC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
ORE
28%
30%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BSC
8 - 1
CFC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 0
CUE
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Vinotinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
JUL
2 - 1
CAV
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 2
CAV
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
CDL
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 1
CAV
32%
22%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 1
DFC
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |