Cultural Espinosa vs Guadalajara C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Espinosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOG
5 - 1
CES
74%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CES
0 - 7
JAD
38%
21%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CES
4 - 5
USA
58%
19%
24%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
7 - 1
CES
58%
20%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CES
3 - 8
ALM
18%
19%
63%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalajara C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 5
TOR
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 0
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
6 - 2
YEB
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
ALM
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 0
CES
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |