Copa Verde Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Cuiabá vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
CUI
3 - 0
MET
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CUI
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 0
CUI
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CUI
0 - 3
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
CUI
12%
23%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
AMF
3 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
OPE
55%
27%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
GUA
45%
29%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
25%
28%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |