Copa Verde . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Cuiabá vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
CRB
4 - 1
CUI
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 1
APA
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
CUI
27%
30%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
4 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
REM
2 - 3
VIL
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
6 - 0
GOI
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 1
REM
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |