Cuiabá vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
CUI
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
CUI
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
2 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
CUI
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MIX
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
URO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |