Cuiabá vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
RON
1 - 2
CUI
29%
23%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 0
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
CUI
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 0
URO
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CUI
1 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 2
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
LUV
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PLA
9 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |