Cuiabá vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.8%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
3.2%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
10.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
16%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
18.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.2%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.2%
+1
12.3%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
4.5%
0.6%
Win probability
0.15
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ACA
0 - 1
CUI
7%
20%
73%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CUI
3 - 1
LUV
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PRI
1 - 1
CUI
7%
20%
73%
|
88 | 18 | 70 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CUI
1 - 1
MIX
88%
10%
3%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LTD
0 - 0
CUI
8%
23%
69%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NME
1 - 0
CSS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LUV
1 - 1
NME
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
5 - 0
NME
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NME
1 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |