Cuiabá vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
CUI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 0
OES
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 2
CUI
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
FFL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 2
CUI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
CHA
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
3 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
FFL
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |