Matogrossense Final
Global 2-2
Cuiabá vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
CUI
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MGR
1 - 2
CUI
26%
23%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 0
MGR
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CUI
0 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
URO
1 - 2
CUI
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
CUI
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUV
0 - 1
MIX
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
5 - 1
MIX
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
LUV
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
VIT
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | +1 |