Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Cuiabá vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 2
CUI
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 0
CUI
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 0
SOR
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 2
CUI
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 0
CUI
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
MIX
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
MIX
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 3
LUV
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |