Matogrossense Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Cuiabá vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
CUI
17%
26%
58%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
0 - 1
CUI
12%
23%
65%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
CUI
16%
26%
58%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CUI
5 - 0
POR
94%
6%
1%
|
87 | 40 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
2 - 2
NME
92%
6%
1%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
0 - 1
CUI
12%
23%
65%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
4 - 1
DBO
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
LUV
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |