Cuiabá vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
CUI
27%
30%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
4 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
PPE
2 - 2
CUI
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
APA
7 - 0
AQU
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
APA
2 - 3
MIR
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
SLU
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |