Cuéllar vs Las Navas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuéllar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
VDB
2 - 1
CUE
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 3
CUE
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CUE
4 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ESR
4 - 5
CUE
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 0
UNA
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
NAV
4 - 1
LAS
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LAS
1 - 2
UXA
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LER
6 - 0
LAS
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VAD
4 - 1
LAS
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
LAS
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |