Cuba vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TTO
2 - 1
CUB
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
USA
5 - 0
CUB
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CUB
0 - 3
CRC
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
CAN
0 - 2
CUB
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
1 - 2
CUB
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 3
TWN
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SGP
2 - 0
MAC
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 3
PAK
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 2
TWN
44%
22%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |